Match News and Current Form
Scotland came back from 17-0 down at half-time against New Zealand last weekend to level the scores on 59 minutes and briefly dream of a first ever win over the All Blacks. It wasn’t to be, with the eventual 25-17 loss meaning Gregor Townsend’s side begin this game, their penultimate fixture of this year, with a W5, L5 record in 2025.
After last Saturday’s impressive comeback, Scotland will begin this clash with only one change to their starting XV which sees Rory Darge comes in for Matt Fagerson at openside flanker. Fly-half Finn Russell keeps his place despite being replaced late on with knee and ankle injuries against New Zealand and Darcy Graham wins his 50th cap for his country.
Following a convincing 52-28 victory over Wales at the Principality Stadium, Argentina will line up with five changes ahead of this game. Pedro Rubiola and Santiago Grondona return at lock and blindside flanker while Matias Moroni, Rodrigo Isgro and Juan Cruz Mallia come in to reinforce the backs, with the latter and Juan Martin Gonzalez earning their 50th cap.
The win in Cardiff means that Felipe Contepomi’s side have won three of their last six (L3) at any venue and three of their last five away from home (L2) and the coach is expecting a “massive challenge” at Murrayfield against a team who he described as without “one weak aspect of their game” in his pre-match press conference.
Head-to-Head History
Both teams have won two of the last four H2Hs, with three of those fixtures taking place in Argentina. As hosts, Scotland have won five of the nine H2Hs (L4) with los Pumas last winning in Edinburgh back in 2009.
Hot Stats and Streaks
Scotland have conceded 25-32 points in their last three home games against teams ranked in the top 12.
Three of Scotland’s last five home fixtures have produced 42-50 total match points.
Argentina’s last seven matches have seen both teams score 23+ points.
Argentina have scored 19-31 first half points in each of their last five away games.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Wing Darcy Graham scored a hat-trick of tries at Murrayfield in the last H2H in 2022 while his opposite number Bautista Delguy finished as joint second-top try scorer in the 2025 Rugby Championship and has crossed the line in both of Argentina’s last two games.
Scotland’s Rory Sutherland, Arron Reed, Murphy Walker and Zander Ferguson are out with injuries while Argentina have not reported any new availability issues.
Betting Analysis
Scotland’s home games have delivered a consistent total number of points and Argentina’s recent fixtures, irrespective of the venue, have seen a consistent minimum. Based on both, we recommend backing 40-49 total points on Sunday.
