Wrexham face Middlesbrough at Racecourse Ground in round 14 of the Championship. Middlesbrough are the clear favourite, with a 54% chance of victory according to the odds bookmakers offered on this match.
Current Form - Wrexham
Wrexham’s last league match ended in a 0-1 loss away to Sheffield Utd. They are 18th with 14 points from 13 matches, recording three wins, five draws and five losses, with a 15-19 goal record. Their last five matches brought one win, one draw and three losses. Wrexham have scored 1.2 goals per match across both their last five matches and the season, while their goals conceded figure moved from 1.5 per match for the season to 1.4 across that recent window. Their expected goals figure is 1.1, compared with a league average of 1.45.
Current Form - Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough arrive after a 3-0 home win over Charlton. They lead the Championship with 28 points from 13 matches, having won eight, drawn four and lost one, with 30 goals scored and 17 conceded. Their last five matches produced four wins and one draw. Over that period, Middlesbrough scored 2.8 goals per match against a season figure of 2.3, while their goals conceded rate fell from 1.3 to 1.0. Their expected goals figure is 2.13, above the league average of 1.45.
Head-to-Head Record
Wrexham drew two of their last two meetings with Middlesbrough. Wrexham were unbeaten in their last two meetings against Middlesbrough, two draws. Middlesbrough were unbeaten in their last two meetings against Wrexham, two draws. Their most recent meeting, last season, ended 2-2, with Wrexham at home.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Wrexham’s top scorer Kieffer Moore, a forward, has five goals and one assist, including two goals in his last five matches. Midfielder Benjamin Whiteman has played 12 matches, scoring one goal and providing two assists, while defender Callum Doyle has also played 12 matches and has one goal and one assist. Josh Windass is unavailable with an ankle injury.
Middlesbrough’s Will Lankshear is the league’s top scorer, with 13 goals and zero assists; he scored seven goals in his last five matches, including two in his latest match. Forward Amario Cozier-Duberry has played eight matches, scoring three goals and supplying five assists. Midfielder Sebastian Berhalter has three goals and two assists. Alfie Jones is unavailable with a calf injury.
Key Numbers
↔️ Shots on target: Wrexham 3.3 per match vs Middlesbrough 6.6 per match
Wrexham
➖ Big chances: 1.4 per match (worst in the league, league average 2.3)
➖ Through passes: 0.3 per match (2nd worst, league average 0.8)
Middlesbrough
➕ Total shots: 19.8 per match (best in the league, league average 13.6)
➕ Touches in opposition box: 35.0 per match (best in the league, league average 23.8)
➕ Expected goals conceded (xGA): 0.97 per match (2nd best, league average 1.45)
Match Notes
Lewis O'Brien is now at Wrexham after coming from Middlesbrough, where he made 23 appearances and scored zero goals across one season.
Betting Insights
The over/under line is 2.5 goals, with over priced at a 58% probability, while the probability for both teams to score is 58%.
Goals implied by the odds: 3.0
These figures come from the odds bookmakers offered on this match, read two days before kickoff.
This content was generated using AI.
