Willem II travel to face PSV for round 11 of the Eredivisie. PSV enters this match as a clear favourite with an 89% win probability, far exceeding the 4% chance given to Willem II two days before kickoff.
Current Form - PSV
PSV are third in the league with 20 points, following a 1-1 home draw with Feyenoord in their last league match. In their last five, they have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses. They are currently on a five-match non-losing run at home, spanning the whole season so far with three wins and two draws.
Current Form - Willem II
Willem II are 18th in the league with two points. They suffered a 1-6 home loss to Cambuur in their last league match. Having lost all five matches in their last five, the club is currently on a 10-match winless run, comprising two draws and eight losses.
Head-to-Head Record
There is an average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these two sides. PSV holds a record of three wins, one draw, and one loss across their last five matches against Willem II. The most recent of these encounters took place two seasons ago and resulted in a 1-1 draw at PSV.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Guus Til has scored six goals and one assist at an average rating of 7.4 for PSV, including four goals in his last four matches, where he averaged a match rating of 7.4. Amir Bouhamdi has contributed two assists. PSV will be without Paul Wanner due to a foot injury, Alassane Plea following surgery, and Ricardo Pepi, who has contributed three goals this season, due to injury.
Devin Haen has recorded three goals and one assist for Willem II. Uriel van Aalst has contributed two goals and two assists, while Vito van Crooij has two assists at an average rating of 6.6.
Key Numbers
↔️ PSV: Expected goals (xG) 2.51 per match vs Willem II: Expected goals conceded (xGA) 2.30 per match
PSV
➕ Headed goals: 0.50 per match (2nd best, league average 0.26)
➕ Total shots: 19.7 per match (4th best, league average 15.0)
➖ Errors leading to shot: 0.80 per match (2nd worst, league average 0.54)
Willem II
➖ Shot accuracy: 23% (worst in the league, league average 35%)
➖ Touches in opposition box: 16.9 per match (2nd worst, league average 27.7)
➖ Shots on target conceded: 7.5 per match (worst in the league, league average 5.3)
Match Notes
Sven Mijnans was sent off for PSV two matches ago. Maxime Delanghe now plays for Willem II after coming through the PSV academy, where he made zero appearances.
Betting Insights
The goal line for this match is set at 2.5 with an 85% chance of the total exceeding that mark. The both-teams-to-score market puts a 55% probability on both sides finding the net.
Goals implied by the odds: 4.7
These figures come from the pre-match odds two days before kickoff.
This content was generated using AI.
