Stoke City host Middlesbrough at the Bet365 Stadium for round 10 of the Championship. Middlesbrough enter the match as the clear favourites with a 48% win probability compared to Stoke City’s 26% chance of victory two days before kickoff.
Current Form - Stoke City
Stoke City are fourth with 16 points. In their last league match, they won 2-1 away at Bolton. They have four wins and one draw in their last five, and they are currently on a six-match unbeaten run.
Current Form - Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough are second in the league with 18 points. Following a 1-0 win at home against Wolves, they hold a record of three wins and two draws in their last five. They are currently on a seven-match unbeaten run.
Head-to-Head Record
Stoke City have recorded one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five matches against Middlesbrough, with the games producing an average of 2.2 goals per meeting. Middlesbrough won 2-1 away against Stoke City last season. Middlesbrough were unbeaten in their last four meetings against Stoke City, three wins and one draw. Middlesbrough won their last two meetings away at Stoke City.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Ethan Galbraith has contributed three goals and two assists at an average rating of 7.1 for Stoke City, while Sam Gallagher has scored two goals in his last five matches, averaging a match rating of 7.0 over that run. Maksym Talovierov is missing for Stoke City due to a red card.
For Middlesbrough, Will Lankshear is joint first in the scoring charts with seven goals at an average rating of 7.3, and Amario Cozier-Duberry has contributed two goals and one assist at an average rating of 7.5. Alfie Jones is sidelined with a calf injury.
Key Numbers
↔️ Middlesbrough: Big chances 3.6 per match vs Stoke City: Big chances conceded 3.0 per match
Stoke City
➕ Through passes: 1.3 per match (2nd best, league average 0.8)
➖ Touches in opposition box: 17.2 per match (2nd worst, league average 23.7)
➖ Expected goals conceded (xGA): 1.68 per match (3rd worst, league average 1.40)
Middlesbrough
➕ Total shots: 17.1 per match (2nd best, league average 13.4)
➕ Touches in opposition box: 30.6 per match (2nd best, league average 23.7)
➕ Expected goals conceded (xGA): 1.08 per match (2nd best, league average 1.40)
Match Notes
Ethan Galbraith has picked up four yellow cards in his last nine appearances for Stoke City. Benjamin Gibson, an academy product of Middlesbrough, now plays for Stoke City, having scored four league goals in 190 appearances across two spells and seven seasons with the club. Ashley Phillips joined Middlesbrough from Stoke City, having made 75 league appearances for the club over two seasons.
Betting Insights
The 2.5 goal line carries a 57% probability, while the both-teams-to-score market gives a 59% chance that both sides find the net during this match.
Goals implied by the odds: 3.0
These figures come from the pre-match odds two days before kickoff.
This content was generated using AI.
