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It would perhaps be unfair to label an October clash as a ‘six pointer’ for Burnley, but a home game with fellow newly-promoted side Leeds certainly has that feel to it.
Match News and Current Form
Coming off the back of a difficult start to the season which saw them handed some horrific early fixtures, Burnley are inside the bottom three with four points to their name (W1, D1, L5). All four of their points earned this term did come at Turf Moor, and their sole victory coming against another newly-promoted side in Sunderland offers some encouragement here. The Clarets simply can’t evade the fact they’re now winless in six competitive games though (D1, L5), and a paltry three wins from their last 24 Premier League home matches (D5, L16) hardly inspire hope of a turnaround here.
Leeds come into this round just three places above Burnley in the table, but with a four-point gap to the Clarets at this early stage, they’ll certainly be content with their start. The best way to describe Leeds’ season so far would probably be indifferent, as each of their results have differed from the match prior. That’s seemingly a positive omen ahead of their trip to Turf Moor given they went down 2-1 at home to Tottenham before the international break, and after beating another bottom-three side in Wolves on their last league road trip, the Whites could now win successive Premier League away games for the first time since April 2022, having lost seven in a row before winning at Molineux.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley edged the H2H stakes in the Championship last season (W1, D1), but in the Premier League, Leeds remain unbeaten in this fixture (W3, D1).
Win ProbabilityOpta by StatsPerform
Hot Stats and Streaks
Burnley have conceded first in a pre-round league-high six games this season.
Burnley haven’t scored more than once in any of their last eight league meetings with Leeds.
Leeds are one of two sides not to have scored a Premier League goal before the half-hour mark this season.
Leeds have kept just one clean sheet in their last 24 top-flight away games.
Key Players to Watch and Missing Players
Quilindschy Hartman assisted Burnley’s last league goal and has created more chances in the Premier League (eight) than any other Clarets player this term. Anton Stach leads the way in that sense for Leeds with 14 chances created, and his only league goal of the season so far served as the winner in their sole away win this term.
Hjalmar Ekdal missed Burnley’s last league game, while first-choice striker Lyle Foster withdrew from the South Africa squad with an injury earlier this week. Leeds will be without Daniel James for a little longer yet.
For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.
Betting Analysis
Burnley have a penchant for playing out low-scoring games against similarly-ranked opponents, so backing under 2.5 goals could produce a profit here.
