Kairat Almaty v Real Madrid (30/09/2025)

Kairat Almaty’s tough introduction to the league phase of the UEFA Champions League (UCL) continues with the arrival of continental giants Real Madrid.

Match News and Current Form

Kairat Almaty’s first UCL league phase experience was a chastening one as they conceded three times in less than five second-half minutes to go down 4-1 to Sporting CP in matchday one, though they did get back to winning ways in league action by beating Zhenis 3-1 in the days following. That should give Kairat a much-needed confidence boost, especially as they are still awaiting a first European group/league phase win at home (D1, L2), yet going unbeaten in all four UCL qualification games here this season without conceding (W3, D1 - results at 90 minutes) offers a glimmer of hope.

Real Madrid launched their campaign for a record-extending 16th UCL/European Cup title by beating Marseille 2-1 on matchday one, but head to Kazakhstan on the back of a humbling 5-2 La Liga defeat to city rivals Atlético Madrid. That was their first competitive loss all season (W7) so they’ll be desperate to bounce back and improve a solid record of only losing three of their last 30 European games against first-time opponents (W24, D3). Los Blancos will need to be fully focused or they could fall to three away UCL defeats in a row for the first time since May 2001, after losing to Arsenal and also Atlético on the road in this competition last season.  

Head-to-Head History

These two sides have never previously met in competitive action, but Spanish clubs are unbeaten against sides from Kazakhstan in this competition (W1, D1).

Hot Stats and Streaks

Kairat have kept clean sheets in four of their last six games.

Kairat have conceded an average of 2.14 goals per game across their seven UEFA group/league phase fixtures (D2, L5).

Six of Madrid’s last seven competitive fixtures produced over 2.5 goals.

Madrid have scored exactly three goals in three of their last five UCL away games.

Key Players to Watch and Missing Players

Teenager Dastan Satpaev has opened the scoring in both of Kairat’s last two league games, although he could only collect a booking against Sporting, his fourth yellow card in Europe already this term. Madrid’s Álvaro Carreras is another strong candidate for a caution as he’s been booked after the 50th minute in three of Madrid’s last four games.

Kairat’s absentees include forwards João Paulo and Élder Santana. Dani Carvajal is suspended for Madrid after his red card against Marseille, while Éder Militão picked up a knock in the Madrid derby.

For all the latest team news, please check the Flashscore match centre.

Betting Analysis

Kairat should be no match for Madrid, even at home, so our tip is to back Madrid to win by a -2 goal handicap.

Author: John Pennington